Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003730 0.003920 0.004114 0.004328 0.004557 0.004796 0.005064
2025-06-29 0.003401 0.003683 0.003983 0.004329 0.004717 0.005140 0.005640
2025-07-06 0.003105 0.003426 0.003778 0.004195 0.004676 0.005219 0.005883
2025-07-13 0.002956 0.003313 0.003713 0.004198 0.004774 0.005441 0.006282
2025-07-20 0.002868 0.003260 0.003707 0.004260 0.004933 0.005733 0.006769
2025-07-27 0.002740 0.003149 0.003623 0.004220 0.004961 0.005860 0.007056
2025-08-03 0.002633 0.003057 0.003555 0.004192 0.004996 0.005993 0.007348
2025-08-10 0.002536 0.002971 0.003488 0.004160 0.005021 0.006109 0.007620
2025-08-17 0.002497 0.002953 0.003503 0.004227 0.005173 0.006391 0.008124
2025-08-24 0.002424 0.002888 0.003455 0.004212 0.005214 0.006528 0.008434
2025-08-31 0.002350 0.002821 0.003401 0.004184 0.005235 0.006636 0.008706
2025-09-07 0.002269 0.002740 0.003326 0.004125 0.005211 0.006678 0.008885
2025-09-14 0.002192 0.002664 0.003255 0.004069 0.005190 0.006725 0.009075
2025-09-21 0.002144 0.002622 0.003228 0.004072 0.005248 0.006885 0.009440
2025-09-28 0.002049 0.002516 0.003112 0.003948 0.005125 0.006779 0.009394
2025-10-05 0.002008 0.002481 0.003090 0.003952 0.005180 0.006931 0.009753
2025-10-12 0.001991 0.002476 0.003106 0.004009 0.005312 0.007203 0.010313
2025-10-19 0.001940 0.002424 0.003057 0.003972 0.005307 0.007266 0.010542
2025-10-26 0.001895 0.002380 0.003017 0.003946 0.005315 0.007350 0.010807
2025-11-02 0.001851 0.002335 0.002976 0.003916 0.005316 0.007421 0.011054
2025-11-09 0.001842 0.002336 0.002998 0.003978 0.005456 0.007716 0.011696
2025-11-16 0.001807 0.002302 0.002968 0.003964 0.005480 0.007826 0.012025
2025-11-23 0.001770 0.002263 0.002932 0.003938 0.005484 0.007903 0.012299